How High Can The MAC Be Seeded On Selection Sunday?

There once was a magnificent time in our sports history wherein the Mid-American Conference was comfortably seeded somewhere in the 9-to-13 range — sometimes multiple times in the same bracket — setting them up nicely for a run to the Sweet 16. You could never count out the MAC team! That is, until they stopped winning games. And then that drought ended last year when OHIO, thought to be a fluky one-and-done team, remained torrid and throttled Georgetown, of all teams.

We don't know anything, and yet we continue to scribe as if we do.

This year? I can't say an upset over a ranked team will happen again, although what the hell do any of us know. From what a lot of national media men have been saying, much of the field is watered down and there aren't any "great" teams. Because only John Wooden can coach great teams, supposedly.

But we do know this: With an extra four teams into the tournament, that means that additional at-large teams will be slotted ahead of the likely MAC autobid, meaning that even a 14-seed will be ambitious to grab.

We have eight teams left in the MAC tournament. If each were to win out, here's where they'll likely be seeded:

MACT
Seed
Team W-L Pomeroy
Rating
RPI Sagarin
Rating
Best Wins Worst Losses Likely
Seed
1 Kent State 20-10 127 86 107 Iona
South Florida
OHIO
at Miami
14
2 WMU 18-11 165 172 165 at Milwaukee
South Dakota St.
Troy
at Toledo
16
3 Miami 15-15 184 103 158 Xavier
Kent State
Green Bay
at Bowling Green
15
4 Ball State 17-11 170 174 164 Indiana State
at DePaul
Alaska-Anchorage
at Bowling Green
16
5 OHIO 18-14 158 158 157 At Kent State
Valparaiso
Bowling Green
at Central Michigan
15
6 Akron 19-12 133 132 138 at Detroit
Kent State
at Eastern Michigan
at Northern Illinois
15
7 Bowling
Green
13-18 245 247 238 at Buffalo
at Saint Louis
at Howard
Niagara
16
(play-in)
8 Buffalo 17-12 108 160 130 at Canisius
Kent State
Bowling Green
at Eastern Michigan
15

So, the logic dictates that Kent State will draw the most favorable matchup in the bunch. Although who knows: at their best, Miami can put together 40 minutes of infuriating basketball (for the opposition). Buffalo can play smart and create turnovers. Western Michigan has more balance than you think. And we saw what OHIO did. Perhaps a 15-seed is what you want, since it'll create a louder thud when a Big East team falls at the 2-spot.

Or! (Orr?) Root for BG and let them have a play-in game, held in nearby Dayton. That's truly our best shot at a MAC tournament win.

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