2014 NCAA Tournament Predictions: Western Michigan Given 11% Chance to Beat Syracuse

FiveThirtyEight.com, the new venture by stats guru Nate Silver and ESPN launched today and to kick off his more sports-centric statistical takes Silver's new site decided to use their algorithms to predict the NCAA Tournament.

The Western Michigan Broncos, a 14-seed in the Tournament, has an 11 percent chance to beat Syracuse in Round 2 on Thursday according to 538. The Broncos have a two percent chance of advancing on past the third round with a less than one percent chance of advancing past that.

How did 538 come up with these numbers? Well considering Silver's predictions of the 2012 Presidential election I'd say it's really some form of black magic, but the site has a less sinister (and more scientific) explanation. Basically the numbers are derived by taking in a range of factors including composite power rankings, the team's placement on the NCAA S-curve, injuries, geography and the hair of a black goat. That last bit may or may not be my own addition.

You can view all the predictions in the interactive graphic on the new FiveThirtyEight.com.

SB Nation Featured Video
X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Hustle Belt

You must be a member of Hustle Belt to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Hustle Belt. You should read them.

Join Hustle Belt

You must be a member of Hustle Belt to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Hustle Belt. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9341_tracker