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Last week the Toledo Rockets feasted on a cupcake. The Nevada Wolf Pack gave up 500 yards to Northwestern and lost 31-20. This week, the Rockets head to Reno for their first real test this season. Nevada is now at home after looking good for 3 quarters against a solid Northwestern team. A lot is expected from the Rockets this season and this game should be a good indicator of what is to come.
When the Rockets Have the Ball
Anyone that has been paying attention knows just how loaded the Rockets are on offense. There was certainly some rust their last outing, but they also displayed some new weapons. Diontae Johnson showed big play ability both as a receiver and in the return game. Shakif Seymour and Art Thompkins both had big games out of the backfield.
That’s not good news for a Nevada defense that gave up multiple big plays against Northwestern. 3 different receivers averaged over 15 yards per catch. The Wolf Pack was solid against the run. Their only hope is that the Toledo offense fails to make big plays early. With momentum and a solid run defense, Nevada has a chance.
I just don’t think it’s a very big chance. Johnson and Cody Thompson both averaged over 22 last week, and Jon’Vea Johnson averaged over 19 last season. Throw in 3 explosive backs, including Terry Swanson, and it’s likely the Rockets will score.
When the Rockets Have the Ball
All off season I was worried about the Rockets defense and their performance against Elon did nothing to assuage those doubts. Sure, they held them to 14, but there were still runs right up the middle and bad angles by defensive backs. There were also a few blown coverages.
Nevada struggled to move the ball against Northwestern but there is hope. Ty Gangi looked a little rusty in his first game this year, but he showed great promise last season. Jaxson Kincaide had a solid game running the football.
This is the side of the football where Nevada can make up some ground. Toledo was never going to be a shut down defense this year and the Wolf Pack have some weapons.
Prediction
I see both offenses moving the ball, but the Rockets moving it a bit more even though they are on the road. Toledo wins 45-35.