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2018 Roberts Poll: Week 5

With no more undefeated MAC teams, the conference once again becomes wide open.

Western Michigan v Michigan Photo by Rey Del Rio/Getty Images

Welcome back to the second year of the Roberts Poll!

In case you weren’t here the first time, we at Hustle Belt (with the help of yours truly) came up with a formula to rank FBS teams. It basically comes down to a mathematical formula that takes the quality of a win or loss and combines it with margin of victory to assign a team points.

This year has a slight tweak over last year. The Mountain West Conference has been relegated to the third tier of conferences (along with the MAC, Sun Belt, Conference USA, and independents). Taking their place is the American Athletic Conference. Conference relegation and promotion occurs annually based on cumulative scores for that conference each year.

So how does each team rank? Let’s find out together.


Top 25:

The Ohio State Buckeyes are the top team for a fourth consecutive week, with a very slim lead over the Alabama Crimson Tide. In this case, Ohio State’s quality of competition has netted them more points than blowing out lower quality competition. There was very little change in the top five teams, with Penn State dropping from third to eighth with a close loss to Ohio State.

Unfortunately, the Roberts Poll Top 25 only contains two Group of Five schools this week with the departure of Buffalo and South Florida. Central Florida and North Texas remain in the top 25, despite the Mean Green losing to Louisiana Tech this past week.

In the table below, we can see where each team currently stands compared to the AP Top 25 and Coaches Poll:


MAC Standings:

This week’s MACtion was certainly wild, although the final results were not as good as expected, with a few exceptions. With exclusively in-conference play around the corner, we will continue to expect changing standings each week.

In the MAC East, Buffalo retained their tremendous lead, despite a big loss to Army. They still hold more than a 100-point lead over any other team in the MAC. Ohio, Akron, and Miami each remained in the same positions despite the MAC West moving around them. Kent State and Bowling Green moved to the bottom of the standings following each of their big losses.

In the MAC West, we have a new leader: the Western Michigan Broncos. After a rough start to the season, the Broncos overtook Toledo after a road win against the powerful Miami Redhawks. Ball State showed they are a serious contender with a blowout of Kent State. Northern Illinois is a notch ahead of Eastern Michigan after the Huskies’ 3OT win against the Eagles. Central Michigan still has a way to go to get to the top, but anything is possible.

We expect continued movement in the standings. As always, the MAC is anyone’s for the taking. The table below summarizes this week of football action for the MAC:


Analysis:

The best performance of the week belongs to the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Notre Dame put up 111 points to remain undefeated on the year. This week’s bottom performers were the South Alabama Jaguars. South Alabama lost 95 points after a loss to Appalachian State.

New Mexico State was able to move out of last place after a bye week. The Connecticut Huskies, who probably wish it was basketball season already, are in dead last with -269 points.

We are excited to congratulate the Florida Gators on winning this week’s Statistic of the Week. The Gators earned a win with the fewest points scored in their 13-6 victory over Mississippi State.

Last week’s Statistic of the Week was not available by press time. The winners last week were the Appalachian State Mountaineers, who achieved the highest yards per offensive play with 9.23 yards per snap.

Due to the often unpredictable nature of college football, we expect a lot of movement in the standings. Our poll is slowly resembling a more balanced version of the AP and Coaches’ Polls, and will be increasingly accurate throughout the season. Stop by each week as we revisit the standings.